Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004264 0.004486 0.004713 0.004965 0.005236 0.005519 0.005837
2025-09-14 0.003828 0.004150 0.004495 0.004893 0.005342 0.005835 0.006420
2025-09-21 0.003596 0.003978 0.004399 0.004901 0.005485 0.006150 0.006969
2025-09-28 0.003324 0.003731 0.004189 0.004747 0.005414 0.006193 0.007183
2025-10-05 0.003182 0.003619 0.004120 0.004744 0.005506 0.006420 0.007616
2025-10-12 0.003106 0.003577 0.004126 0.004822 0.005694 0.006765 0.008206
2025-10-19 0.002982 0.003468 0.004043 0.004785 0.005731 0.006917 0.008554
2025-10-26 0.002876 0.003376 0.003975 0.004758 0.005774 0.007075 0.008911
2025-11-02 0.002777 0.003286 0.003904 0.004723 0.005803 0.007209 0.009240
2025-11-09 0.002739 0.003270 0.003922 0.004801 0.005978 0.007545 0.009863
2025-11-16 0.002662 0.003201 0.003870 0.004782 0.006023 0.007702 0.010239
2025-11-23 0.002586 0.003129 0.003812 0.004752 0.006048 0.007830 0.010577
2025-11-30 0.002499 0.003043 0.003732 0.004690 0.006029 0.007897 0.010830
2025-12-07 0.002416 0.002959 0.003651 0.004624 0.005999 0.007946 0.011059
2025-12-14 0.002368 0.002917 0.003625 0.004631 0.006072 0.008146 0.011532
2025-12-21 0.002264 0.002800 0.003495 0.004489 0.005924 0.008010 0.011460
2025-12-28 0.002219 0.002760 0.003466 0.004486 0.005977 0.008177 0.011886
2026-01-04 0.002204 0.002759 0.003490 0.004559 0.006144 0.008524 0.012632
2026-01-11 0.002152 0.002706 0.003441 0.004524 0.006148 0.008618 0.012955
2026-01-18 0.002106 0.002659 0.003399 0.004499 0.006165 0.008731 0.013317
2026-01-25 0.002059 0.002611 0.003354 0.004467 0.006168 0.008822 0.013645
2026-02-01 0.002049 0.002614 0.003379 0.004539 0.006335 0.009185 0.014486
2026-02-08 0.002011 0.002575 0.003346 0.004521 0.006361 0.009316 0.014911